Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 1700.670891 1857.482115 2017.089667 2191.418391 2376.182341 2565.892760 2775.123398
2025-03-16 1423.046254 1652.264694 1895.350777 2171.208749 2474.427644 2796.458080 3163.200052
2025-03-23 1292.807526 1568.754348 1870.060989 2221.151451 2616.656353 3046.135260 3545.445410
2025-03-30 1173.697847 1480.573318 1824.256554 2233.840207 2704.791651 3225.604339 3841.276181
2025-04-06 1071.299429 1400.353080 1777.449552 2235.951522 2772.700364 3375.687442 4098.693885
2025-04-13 945.898295 1282.595708 1677.605857 2167.628465 2751.524311 3417.592546 4227.212700
2025-04-20 909.912479 1269.130396 1698.168275 2238.492186 2890.830733 3643.363733 4567.184179
2025-04-27 861.918904 1236.711465 1692.386421 2274.815438 2986.999836 3817.469625 4846.629697
2025-05-04 801.131861 1183.821065 1657.707070 2272.601799 3034.175505 3931.818356 5054.639026
2025-05-11 740.200720 1126.753724 1614.286558 2256.361663 3061.602442 4020.613009 5230.968644
2025-05-18 698.559687 1092.403156 1597.396821 2271.307234 3125.811452 4152.735506 5458.866723
2025-05-25 650.110670 1045.908011 1562.235641 2260.728099 3156.405314 4242.721232 5635.193764
2025-06-01 621.639142 1026.003031 1561.699350 2295.172485 3244.993317 4406.179833 5904.656274
2025-06-08 573.827351 976.344171 1519.380526 2273.415661 3261.007398 4479.428716 6063.837787
2025-06-15 556.551758 969.091013 1533.330860 2325.049138 3370.724331 4669.459484 6367.750959
2025-06-22 527.171781 942.422800 1519.245217 2338.154349 3429.855472 4795.793329 6592.927382
2025-06-29 496.311883 911.728724 1498.027274 2340.335247 3473.786700 4902.447764 6793.566200
2025-07-06 444.638608 846.436392 1425.330345 2269.752961 3419.619829 4882.474790 6833.640355
2025-07-13 440.491103 854.326119 1456.980750 2342.959526 3556.730852 5108.147942 7185.377486
2025-07-20 426.047978 845.105918 1463.247206 2380.475229 3646.066190 5272.669281 7460.359844
2025-07-27 401.171132 817.765516 1441.840294 2378.189080 3681.135628 5366.664287 7645.558498
2025-08-03 373.982200 785.050616 1411.082600 2361.416341 3695.584626 5433.208752 7795.365741
2025-08-10 356.954330 768.221394 1403.315105 2376.852100 3753.647404 5556.790221 8018.972807